RFE/RL has some interesting if fairly quirky news items that indicate that at the end of every year, people like looking forward to the next one. In what is more like an op-ed than an article, Emil Danielyan reflects on recent progress in negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed territory of Nagorno Karabakh and suggests that a “momentous” deal on Karabakh is imminent.
The past year will be remembered by many in Armenia and Azerbaijan for fresh electoral fraud and missed opportunities for democratization, but it may also go down in history as a turning point in the long-running efforts to resolve the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh.
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There are strong indications that the two men have already agreed on the basic parameters of a peaceful settlement that would almost certainly formalize Armenian control over Karabakh. For longtime Karabakh conflict watchers accustomed to deadlocked negotiations, this may be too good to be true. But never before have there been so many upbeat statements by international mediators and even the conflicting parties.
According to Danielyan, the Armenian President Robert Kocharian is due to meet his Azerbaijani counterpart Ilham Aliyev in January or February, and while many might scorn the idea that either would concede to the other, there has been considerable speculation since the end of 2004 that a peace deal is close.
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